Population aging and government transfer dependency in Red Willow County as of 2022

Population aging and government transfer dependency in Red Willow County as of 2022
John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group — Official Website
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In 2022, Red Willow County received $146 million in government transfer payments, equivalent to $13,808 per capita.

These payments—which include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and income maintenance—accounted for 24.6% of all personal income in the county, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

This marks a significant increase in the county’s reliance on government transfers compared to 2012, when such payments made up 18.8% of total income. Since then, the share has risen by 5.8%.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In 2022, government transfers in Red Willow County primarily focused on older adults—such as Social Security transfers, which totaled $45.4 million (31.1% of all transfer income), and Medicare, which accounted for $42 million (28.8%)—played a significant role in the county’s overall income.

On a per capita basis, Social Security payments rose from $3,613 in 2012 and $1,127 in 1970 to $4,293 in 2022, reflecting a 18.8% increase over the past decade and a 280.9% shift since 1970.

Similarly, Medicare transfers climbed from $2,951 in 2012 and $242 in 1970 to $3,971, marking 34.6% and 1,540.9% increases, respectively.

These increases in per capita payments align with shifts in the county’s age distribution. In 2022, residents aged 65 and older made up 21.4% of the total population, compared to 18.8% in 2012 and 14.9% in 1970. While the senior share of the population has increased, the rise in per capita Social Security and Medicare transfers suggests that these assistance programs for older adults now require a larger share of government funding—either due to growing needs, expanded eligibility, higher benefit levels, or increased enrollment.

According to the Economic Innovation Group, total income in Red Willow County excluding public assistance amounted to $42,385 per capita in 2022, compared to $56,193 when government transfers were included.

Breaking down the other contributions in the county, Medicaid transfers made up $24.2 million, a 16.6% share of total income, while income maintenance programs, including assistance such as SNAP or TANF, added another $8.4 million, or 5.7% of the total.

Compared to the previous year, Red Willow County’s reliance on government transfers decreased by 2.5%.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans’ income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,016 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,529 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Breakdown of Government Transfers by Program in Red Willow County, 2022
2022 Nebraska County Rankings by Per Capita Government Transfers
County State Rank (Per Capita Transfers) Dependency on Transfers (%) % Population 65+ Social Security Transfers (%) Medicare Transfers (%) Medicaid Transfers (%) Income Maintenance Transfers (%) Per Capita Transfers ($)
Boyd County 1 26.25% 31.1% 27.3% 33.6% 20.9% 4% $20,621
Garden County 2 35% 29.48% 30.1% 31.4% 14.2% 5.7% $18,080
Furnas County 3 28.79% 25.34% 30.4% 35.5% 15.7% 5.3% $17,213
Dundy County 4 19.21% 28.59% 31.1% 35.5% 17% 4.8% $16,965
Franklin County 5 27.8% 27.54% 30.7% 33.2% 14.9% 5.6% $16,865
Nuckolls County 6 25.92% 27.92% 32.4% 31.1% 16.7% 5.1% $16,440
Gage County 7 25.37% 22.17% 29.2% 22% 32.1% 5.5% $16,200
Garfield County 8 33.13% 29.88% 26.7% 29.8% 16.8% 4.7% $16,172
Thayer County 9 24.28% 24.7% 30.1% 31.5% 21.5% 4.9% $16,105
Hitchcock County 10 26.97% 25.55% 33.9% 26.7% 16.9% 6.3% $15,826
Box Butte County 11 28.31% 21.51% 19.4% 25.6% 15.5% 6.3% $15,648
Harlan County 12 24.7% 27.31% 34% 35.6% 12.1% 5.8% $15,595
Kimball County 13 28% 27.28% 35.9% 30.7% 15.8% 6% $15,481
Richardson County 14 26.27% 24.9% 32.3% 35.8% 13.5% 6.3% $15,378
Webster County 15 26.83% 22.43% 29.3% 31.8% 19.7% 5.9% $15,214
Knox County 16 25.51% 25.68% 31.3% 28.5% 18.5% 6.4% $14,975
Morrill County 17 21.48% 22.89% 25.6% 30.7% 18.6% 7% $14,925
Holt County 18 23.52% 23.29% 28.6% 32% 16.9% 5.9% $14,862
Gosper County 19 22.55% 24.25% 37.4% 30.7% 10.4% 4.7% $14,842
Thomas County 20 22.41% 29.47% 32.5% 32.3% 6.9% 5.3% $14,823
Hooker County 21 34% 28.59% 36% 27% 15.9% 5% $14,815
Sheridan County 22 20.94% 27.27% 31.7% 28.3% 14.4% 7.1% $14,692
Grant County 23 30.17% 24.32% 34% 32.7% 6.2% 6.3% $14,686
Valley County 24 24% 25% 30.7% 28.9% 18% 6.1% $14,556
Loup County 25 22.95% 29.62% 33.4% 25.8% 11.7% 4.9% $14,519
Sherman County 26 25.57% 27.21% 34% 26.5% 16% 6.1% $14,398
Jefferson County 27 25% 24.52% 33.8% 30.9% 16.9% 6.4% $14,370
Lincoln County 28 22.17% 21.22% 24.4% 26.1% 15.4% 6.9% $14,359
Deuel County 29 30.57% 27.2% 36.7% 30.6% 14.1% 5.7% $14,269
Greeley County 30 22.89% 25.1% 31.5% 27.9% 14.1% 6.5% $14,269
Fillmore County 31 21.54% 24.33% 36.2% 31.3% 14% 4.8% $14,254
Keya Paha County 32 24.35% 31.55% 33.5% 34.6% 6.3% 4.5% $14,254
Custer County 33 24.3% 22.74% 29.3% 32.6% 15.7% 5.6% $14,225
Brown County 34 22.22% 25.46% 32.6% 30.4% 16.4% 5.4% $14,151
Kearney County 35 20.51% 20.86% 26.1% 23.9% 32.6% 5.1% $14,044
Burt County 36 25.61% 24.8% 37% 28.1% 17.8% 5.9% $13,978
Red Willow County 37 24.57% 21.37% 31.1% 28.8% 16.6% 5.7% $13,808
Chase County 38 18.5% 23.18% 31.6% 33.7% 15.1% 5.6% $13,435
Antelope County 39 19.49% 24.49% 32% 29.4% 15.2% 6.1% $13,420
Cheyenne County 40 26.25% 22.4% 34.7% 32% 13.5% 6.2% $13,298
Pawnee County 41 23.73% 28.96% 32.8% 32.5% 15.7% 6.7% $13,260
Scotts Bluff County 42 24.79% 20.88% 32.1% 24.9% 19.3% 9.1% $13,225
Phelps County 43 21% 20.16% 33.6% 29.6% 18.6% 5.7% $13,143
Thurston County 44 23.14% 12.68% 21.5% 22.1% 30.7% 19% $13,122
Keith County 45 24.31% 27.13% 37.4% 29.3% 11.1% 6.4% $13,088
Nemaha County 46 23.65% 20.54% 33.2% 29.3% 19.1% 6.4% $13,078
Cherry County 47 24.14% 22.5% 31.4% 30.3% 13.8% 7.3% $13,029
Perkins County 48 15% 24.12% 37.1% 28.1% 14.1% 5.1% $12,963
Merrick County 49 23% 21.23% 35.3% 26.4% 18.1% 6.2% $12,744
Nance County 50 26.7% 20.59% 28% 16.7% 30.5% 6.3% $12,729
Blaine County 51 23.15% 21.9% 30.3% 28.4% 10.5% 8.3% $12,653
Rock County 52 17.64% 28.53% 38.3% 21.8% 14.9% 6.1% $12,648
Boone County 53 19.87% 23.48% 34.6% 31.6% 12.7% 5.4% $12,555
Clay County 54 21% 20.81% 36.7% 27.1% 16.2% 6.4% $12,535
Hayes County 55 16.31% 26.97% 30.9% 33% 9.5% 6.5% $12,453
Adams County 56 20.65% 19.42% 33.7% 25.2% 20% 7.6% $12,381
York County 57 20.11% 20.35% 34.7% 27% 20.7% 5.4% $12,192
Otoe County 58 21% 20.41% 35% 31.1% 15.8% 5.9% $12,166
Dawes County 59 26.2% 20.4% 29.8% 23.6% 15.4% 7.2% $12,038
Dodge County 60 20.15% 18.85% 36.3% 26.2% 18.9% 7.9% $11,958
Polk County 61 18.29% 24% 39.8% 30% 12.4% 5.4% $11,929
Cuming County 62 15.81% 21.8% 36.8% 31.5% 11.2% 5.6% $11,880
Howard County 63 20.92% 22.35% 35% 32.1% 10.2% 5.8% $11,799
Logan County 64 21.88% 26.28% 35.3% 29% 8.8% 8.2% $11,551
Cedar County 65 18.23% 22.62% 36.4% 31.3% 10.5% 5.4% $11,411
Madison County 66 18.21% 17.55% 33.9% 25.5% 20.4% 7.6% $11,375
Butler County 67 18.91% 20.35% 36.3% 27.9% 16% 5.7% $11,363
Hamilton County 68 16.74% 20.63% 40.4% 28.2% 12.7% 5.5% $11,143
Dixon County 69 19.73% 22.61% 35.4% 31.4% 13.4% 7% $10,866
Cass County 70 16.85% 18.74% 37.3% 25.9% 12.3% 5.5% $10,854
Dawson County 71 20.11% 16.72% 31% 29.7% 17.9% 10% $10,605
Pierce County 72 12.39% 19.76% 34.4% 30.6% 14.8% 6% $10,592
Banner County 73 17.32% 26.33% 59.9% 21.7% 4.1% 7.6% $10,576
Saline County 74 20.36% 15.74% 33.5% 27.6% 20.3% 7.2% $10,566
Saunders County 75 16.18% 18.29% 35.8% 28.6% 15.7% 5.2% $10,539
Seward County 76 17.68% 17.91% 38.7% 27.7% 15.9% 4.7% $10,483
Frontier County 77 19.47% 25.97% 35.9% 30.4% 8.4% 7.3% $10,418
Washington County 78 14.51% 19.1% 41.5% 27.8% 13.7% 4.8% $10,127
Wheeler County 79 17.84% 29% 37.6% 27% 6.5% 6.5% $10,090
Johnson County 80 23.5% 18.74% 29.8% 36% 15.8% 6% $10,088
Hall County 81 18.65% 15.72% 32.7% 22.1% 19.9% 10.6% $10,069
McPherson County 82 17.65% 28.23% 30.8% 27% 8.4% 11.2% $9,882
Platte County 83 17.44% 18.45% 38.2% 27.9% 13.5% 7.4% $9,803
Buffalo County 84 15% 16.41% 35.2% 25.1% 16.2% 7.4% $9,681
Arthur County 85 20.64% 22.82% 46.3% 30.6% 9.5% 8.2% $9,194
Lancaster County 86 15.17% 15.36% 35.6% 23% 18.4% 8.4% $9,158
Douglas County 87 12.21% 14.14% 34.4% 22.3% 20.1% 11% $9,013
Sioux County 88 13.66% 31.23% 45.3% 23.8% 2.7% 7.6% $8,988
Dakota County 89 17.18% 14% 34.7% 20.3% 21.2% 13% $8,971
Wayne County 90 17.3% 16.22% 33.5% 25.3% 18.1% 6.4% $8,962
Colfax County 91 15.37% 14.13% 31.4% 26.9% 18.5% 10.7% $8,585
Stanton County 92 14.23% 21% 40.8% 19.4% 12.6% 7.1% $8,311
Sarpy County 93 12.91% 12.88% 35.9% 22.1% 9.5% 6.9% $8,006


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